{"id":486,"date":"2013-06-19T21:38:41","date_gmt":"2013-06-19T14:38:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/science-technology.vn\/?p=486"},"modified":"2013-06-19T21:38:41","modified_gmt":"2013-06-19T14:38:41","slug":"du-bao-xu-huong-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/?p=486","title":{"rendered":"D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o xu h\u01b0\u1edbng 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"

B\u00e2y gi\u1edd l\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i n\u0103ng v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 b\u1ea1n t\u00f4i h\u1ecfi t\u00f4i v\u1ec1 t\u00f4i ngh\u0129 g\u00ec v\u1ec1 n\u0103m 2013. M\u1eb7c d\u1ea7u kh\u00f3 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1i g\u00ec nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh v\u00e0 ch\u00fang c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra trong n\u0103m 2013:<\/span><\/p>\n

1)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Vi\u1ec7c d\u00f9ng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nhanh. Facebook \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t t\u1edbi tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t t\u1ec9 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y v\u1eabn \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean. N\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t t\u1edbi th\u00eam n\u1eeda t\u1ec9 n\u1eefa \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2013.<\/p>\n

2)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e1y t\u00ednh b\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea7n cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nhanh n\u00e0y. N\u1ec1n di \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 h\u1ec7 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh nh\u01b0 Android, IOS v\u00e0 Window 8 s\u1ebd c\u1ea1nh tranh v\u1ec1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 kh\u00f3 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ai s\u1ebd l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi th\u1eafng. V\u00e0o l\u00fac n\u00e0y, chu\u1ea9n v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 IOS c\u1ee7a Apple nh\u01b0ng Android c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00f9ng h\u01a1n v\u00e0 nhanh ch\u00f3ng thu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0 v\u00e0 Window 8 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e2m nh\u1eadp v\u00e0o th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi kinh doanh. T\u00f4i ngh\u0129 n\u0103m 2013 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 n\u0103ng th\u00fa v\u1ecb cho ba c\u00f4ng ti c\u1ea1nh tranh n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

3)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng kho\u00e1n trong \u0111\u00e3 thu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eebng nhi\u1ec1u ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh kho\u00e1n ngo\u00e0i ra ngo\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c. C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ti \u0111ang chuy\u1ec3n nhi\u1ec1u vi\u1ec7c tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i nh\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u s\u1ebd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o kinh doanh kho\u00e1n ngo\u00e0i. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi chi ph\u00ed l\u00e0m kinh doanh \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u ch\u1ed7 nh\u01b0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea5t c\u00e1nh. Kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc chi ph\u00ed th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111ang h\u1eb9p l\u1ea1i cho n\u00ean kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf chi ph\u00ed cho c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c kho\u00e1n ngo\u00e0i \u1edf \u0111\u00f3 n\u1eefa. Kho\u00e1n ngo\u00e0i ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd c\u00f3 h\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ed9ng t\u1ed1t, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t trong khi suy tho\u00e1i v\u1edbi th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p cao v\u00e0 n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 t\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec3m b\u1ea5t k\u00ec c\u00f4ng ti n\u00e0o kho\u00e1n ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u1ec1u b\u1ecb nh\u00ecn m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c trong con m\u1eaft c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 con m\u1eaft c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 n\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ecd. C\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kinh qua nh\u1eefng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y v\u1edbi th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p cao v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm trong v\u00e0i n\u0103m t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

4)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Suy tho\u00e1i \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111ang t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 \u0111i, th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p tr\u1ebb \u0111ang l\u00ean cao m\u1ecdi l\u00fac. C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u01b0 Tay Ban Nha, B\u1ed3 \u0110\u00e0o Nha, Hi L\u1ea1p v\u00e0 Italy c\u00f3 42% s\u1ed1 thanh ni\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi 25 tu\u1ed5i kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m. Ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi t\u1ed1t nghi\u1ec7o kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 t\u00ecm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u00e0 h\u01a1n \u0111ang l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4ng v\u1ec1 h\u01b0u. Trong lo\u1ea1i t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u b\u00e3i c\u00f4ng m\u00e0 s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 lan r\u1ed9ng kh\u1eafp ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i.<\/p>\n

5)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng ho\u00e1 \u0111ang t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nhanh trong c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ti, \u0111i\u1ec1u y\u00eau c\u1ea7u nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n c\u00f3 k\u0129 n\u0103ng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 th\u00f4ng tin; v\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng ho\u00e1 v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 trong nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 k\u0129 n\u0103ng v\u00e0 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t l\u1edbn nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 k\u0129 n\u0103ng CNTT.<\/p>\n

6)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 co h\u1eb9p l\u1ea1i v\u00e0o c\u00e1c k\u0129 n\u0103ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea7n \u00edt h\u01a1n, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn l\u00e0 c\u00e1c k\u0129 n\u0103ng STEM (Khoa h\u1ecdc, C\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7, K\u0129 ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 To\u00e1n h\u1ecdc) v\u00e0 n\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ch\u00fang, b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m. N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng k\u0129 n\u0103ng n\u00e0y v\u00e0 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u00f3i ti\u1ebfng Anh t\u1ed1t, b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ki\u1ebfm s\u1ed1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1edf b\u1ea5t k\u00ec ch\u1ed7 n\u00e0o hay \u0111i b\u1ea5t k\u00ec \u0111\u00e2u \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng to\u00e0n th\u1ec3 ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p khi nhi\u1ec1u t\u1ed5 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e2n b\u1ed1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

7)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0C\u1ea1nh tranh v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n c\u00f3 k\u0129 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd m\u1ea1nh th\u00eam gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng v\u1ec1 di tr\u00fa cho nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 k\u0129 n\u0103ng. Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, Canada v\u00e0 M\u0129 hi\u1ec7n th\u1eddi \u0111ang m\u1edf c\u1eeda cho nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea7n n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 t\u1edbi v\u00e0 l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang c\u1ea7n h\u1ecd \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

—-English version—-<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2013 trend prediction<\/p>\n

It is the end of the year and some of my friends ask me about what do I think about 2013. Although it is difficult to predict anything but there are some technologies trends begin to take shape and they may happen in 2013:<\/p>\n

1)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0The use of social media has been growing fast. Facebook already reached over a billion users and the number is still increasing. It may reach another half billion users by the end of 2013.<\/p>\n

2)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Tablets and smartphones market have been growing strong and more applications are needed for these fast growing market. Mobile platforms and operating systems such as Android, IOS and Window 8 will compete for users and it is difficult to predict who will be the winner. At this time, the gold standard is still Apple\u2019s IOS but Android has more users and rapidly gaining momentum and Window 8 is beginning to penetrate the business world. I think 2013 would be an interesting year for these three competing companies.<\/p>\n

3)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0The insourcing trend already gained momentum and halted many offshore outsourcing programs. Companies are moving more works back home which will impact countries whose economies are depending on outsourcing business. At the same time the cost of doing business in places like India and China has soared. The differential between a low-cost countries and developed countries is narrowing so it is no longer a cost advantage to outsource works there anymore. Outsourcing never had a good public image, especially during the recession with high unemployment and it has got worse to the point that any company that outsource are seen negatively by the public as well as their governments. China and India\u2019s economies may experience these impacts with high unemployment and slow growth in the next few years.<\/p>\n

4)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0The recessions in Europe is getting worst, unemployment particularly youth unemployment is reaching all time high. Countries such as Spain, Portugal, Greece, and Italy are having 42% of their young people under 25 year old out of work. Most graduates could not find jobs and older people who are working do not retire. In this kind of situation there will be more strikes which will create unstable economies that could spread all over Europe and many governments could change.<\/p>\n

5)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Automation trend is growing fast among companies which require more workers with information technology skills; as more tasks are being automated and this will create enormous unemployment among people who do not have the skills and significant shortage of people with IT skills.<\/p>\n

6)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0The global market has narrowed down to fewer needed skills, mostly STEM skills (Science, Technology, Engineering and Math) and if you do not have them, you will not be able to get job. If you have these skills and be able to speak English well, you can make a living from anywhere or go anywhere to work. This potentially changes entire industries as more teams will be distributed globally.<\/p>\n

7)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0The competition for skilled workers will intensify among developed countries with ease of immigration for skilled people. Currently Europe, Canada and the U.S are opening doors for people who have certain needed skills to come and work which will impact developing countries who need them to improve their economies.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

B\u00e2y gi\u1edd l\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i n\u0103ng v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 b\u1ea1n t\u00f4i h\u1ecfi t\u00f4i v\u1ec1 t\u00f4i ngh\u0129 g\u00ec v\u1ec1 n\u0103m 2013. M\u1eb7c d\u1ea7u kh\u00f3 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1i … <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-486","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-xu-huong-toan-cau"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/486","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=486"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/486\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":487,"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/486\/revisions\/487"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=486"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=486"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=486"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}