{"id":2649,"date":"2013-07-06T17:26:15","date_gmt":"2013-07-06T10:26:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/science-technology.vn\/?p=2649"},"modified":"2013-07-06T17:26:15","modified_gmt":"2013-07-06T10:26:15","slug":"thi-truong-cntt-hom-nay-va-ngay-mai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/?p=2649","title":{"rendered":"Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng CNTT h\u00f4m nay v\u00e0 ng\u00e0y mai"},"content":{"rendered":"

D\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 sau v\u00e0i n\u0103m ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u0111ang b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eadn h\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1eddi gian t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i khi c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u chi ti\u00eau v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 th\u00f4ng tin (CNTT). Theo m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a Forrester Research, c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p CNTT s\u1ebd “b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5” l\u1edbn h\u01a1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y b\u1edfi v\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng ti coi CNTT nh\u01b0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef cho h\u1ecd c\u00f3 t\u00ednh c\u1ea1nh tranh tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. H\u00e3ng nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u n\u00e0y d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng chi ti\u00eau CNTT to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd t\u0103ng qu\u00e3ng 9 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m t\u1edbi h\u01a1n $1.6 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ec9 \u0111\u00f4 la n\u0103m 2010 v\u00e0 h\u01a1n n\u1eefa trong n\u0103m n\u0103m t\u1edbi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Andrew Bartels, ph\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a Forrester Research tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1: \u201cS\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ebft m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c, m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 \u0111\u1ec1u s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng cho chi ti\u00eau v\u00e0 thu\u00ea c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 M\u0129 s\u1ebd m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi b\u1ea5t k\u00ec th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0o kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi chi ti\u00eau c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng h\u01a1n hai l\u1ea7n t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i.\u201d D\u1eef li\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng trong s\u00e1u th\u00e1ng qua c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2010, vi\u1ec7c mua s\u1eafm to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 trang thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb m\u00e1y t\u00ednh \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 10%, thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 8%, chi ti\u00eau ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean qu\u00e3ng 11% v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 kho\u00e1n ngo\u00e0i CNTT \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t t\u1edbi 8% cao h\u01a1n n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 M\u0129 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 ch\u1ed7 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00f3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m qua n\u01a1i mua s\u1eafm c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean 12%. Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u0169ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u1edf Canada s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 10%, \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1 Th\u00e1i b\u00ecnh d\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u0103ng 8%, v\u00e0 M\u0129 Latin t\u0103ng 7%. V\u1edbi ngo\u1ea1i l\u1ec7 v\u1ec1 \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u, Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u Phi, g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 m\u1ecdi n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ebd t\u1eadn h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Forrester Research d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c thu\u00ea ng\u01b0\u1eddi trong c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c trong v\u00e0i n\u0103m t\u1edbi v\u1edbi l\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u0169ng t\u0103ng \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 6% m\u1ed7i n\u0103m v\u00ec v\u1eabn c\u00f2n thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n c\u00f3 k\u0129 n\u0103ng trong m\u1ecdi n\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Trong to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m kinh t\u1ebf, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ti ph\u1ea3i c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n nh\u01b0ng ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u. Trong v\u00e0i n\u0103m t\u1edbi, s\u1ef1 th\u1ecbnh v\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00e0 s\u00e1ng l\u1ea1n cho nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Web b\u1edfi v\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng tin \u0111ang d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o website c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00e1n s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5. Nhi\u1ec1u ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u0169ng t\u0103ng s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o websites \u0111\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 cho c\u00f4ng d\u00e2n cho n\u00ean nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 kinh nghi\u1ec7m ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n web s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 t\u00ecm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c vi\u1ec7c. Theo Forrester, nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Web v\u1eabn c\u00f2n r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi nh\u01b0ng l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean chuy\u00ean m\u00f4n ho\u00e1 h\u01a1n khi nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 h\u01a1n l\u00e0 s\u1eb5n c\u00f3. Vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ecm nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 chuy\u00ean vi\u00ean an ninh m\u1ea1ng, ki\u1ebfn tr\u00fac s\u01b0 m\u1ea1ng, v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi qu\u1ea3n l\u00ed d\u1ef1 \u00e1n ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m. Forrester Research th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng h\u01a1n 30% c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ti \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u tra l\u1eadp k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch thu\u00ea nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Web h\u01a1n trong n\u0103m nay v\u00e0 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi nhu c\u1ea7u m\u1ea1nh, h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Web \u0111\u1ec1u n\u00f3i h\u1ecd nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng gi\u1eefa 6% t\u1edbi 12% n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i.<\/p>\n

T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng CNTT c\u0169ng c\u1ea5p nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u cho c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p kho\u00e1n ngo\u00e0i \u1edf \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9. Theo nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ti ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 (NASSCOM), kho\u00e1n ngo\u00e0i CNTT s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra 30 tri\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m th\u00eam (10 tri\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0 20 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp) \u0111\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1edbc n\u0103m 2020. Trong m\u01b0\u1eddi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p kho\u00e1n ngo\u00e0i CNTT \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp qu\u00e3ng 3 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m v\u00e0 gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ea1o ra 18 tri\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m ph\u1ee5. NASSCOM d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng thu nh\u1eadp kho\u00e1n ngo\u00e0i CNTT v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n k\u0129 ngh\u1ec7 s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t t\u1edbi qu\u00e3ng $1.4 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ec9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc n\u0103m 2020. Tuy nhi\u00ean, nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9 n\u00e0y c\u0169ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng thu nh\u1eadp c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7p \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 40 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m qua m\u01b0\u1eddi n\u0103m qua c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i do thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n c\u00f3 k\u0129 n\u0103ng ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. Hi\u1ec7n th\u1eddi, c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p CNTT \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111ang kinh qua thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 k\u0129 n\u0103ng, \u0111i\u1ec1u d\u1eabn t\u1edbi “cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9” gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ti v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c t\u00e0i n\u0103ng. Qu\u00e3ng m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n ba c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed5i\u00a0 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m m\u1ecdi n\u0103m \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 v\u1ecb tr\u00ed t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n. Nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi tuy\u1ec3n m\u1ed9 c\u00f4ng ti b\u00e1o c\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed5 “\u0111i\u1ec3m th\u01b0\u1edfng ph\u1ee5” \u0111\u1ec3 quy\u1ebfn r\u0169 t\u00e0i n\u0103ng v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ti h\u1ecd. Khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 l\u01b0\u01a1ng cao h\u01a1n 10% hay h\u01a1n hay th\u01b0\u1edfng ph\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 ngh\u1ec9 ph\u00e9p d\u00e0i h\u01a1n, nhi\u1ec1u b\u1ed5 nhi\u1ec7m \u1edf n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i, v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u1ec1n khi k\u00ed l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c.<\/p>\n

Khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng CNTT ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1edbi nhu c\u1ea7u cao v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n, nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang nh\u1ea3y v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y. Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 “\u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 then ch\u1ed1t” c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea1nh tranh tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u1edbi \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9. Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 k\u1ebft c\u1ea5u n\u1ec1n t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n, nhi\u1ec1u khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 h\u01a1n, chi ph\u00ed th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nh\u01b0ng nh\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec3m then ch\u1ed1t l\u00e0 s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ea5p, ng\u01b0\u1eddi qu\u1ea3n l\u00ed \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o k\u00e9m, thi\u1ebfu s\u1ef1 b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 s\u1edf h\u1eefu tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7, v\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u1edbn v\u1edbi sao ch\u00e9p l\u1eadu ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m. Theo v\u00e0i nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ti ph\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u00e2y ng\u1ea7n ng\u1ea1i kho\u00e1n ngo\u00e0i cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c do s\u1ee3 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ti Trung Qu\u1ed1c sao ch\u00e9p s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u00e0 b\u00e1n ch\u00fang v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 r\u1ebb h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u. Ken Brown, m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n doanh nghi\u1ec7p Trung Qu\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch: \u201cTrung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 v\u1edbi s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 TV, h\u00e0ng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng gia \u0111\u00ecnh, h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng stereo, m\u00e1y t\u00ednh, v\u1eadt d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v.v b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c sao ch\u00e9p c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c. H\u1ecd \u0111ang l\u00e0m c\u00f9ng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 v\u1edbi xe m\u00e1y, \u00f4 t\u00f4, m\u00e1y m\u00f3c v.v., kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 l\u00ed do h\u1ecd s\u1ebd d\u1eebng l\u1ea1i c\u00e1i g\u00ec. Ng\u00e0y nay b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 mua nhi\u1ec1u “s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m gi\u1ea3 m\u1ea1o” \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0m \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00ec ch\u00fang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u1edf m\u1ecdi n\u01a1i. T\u00f4i KH\u00d4NG ngh\u0129 Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea9y \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 sang b\u00ean trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng CNTT. H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng theo k\u1ecbp v\u1edbi ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, h\u1ecd v\u1eabn t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c h\u1ecdc nh\u1ed3i nh\u00e9t v\u00e0 qua k\u00ec thi m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh th\u1ef1c h\u00e0nh. C\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n CNTT c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n, nh\u01b0 l\u1eadp tr\u00ecnh v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m th\u1eed nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 r\u1ea5t \u00edt quan ni\u1ec7m v\u1ec1 thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf hay x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n. Ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ti CNTT \u0111\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c qu\u1ea3n l\u00ed t\u1ed1t, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 khi\u1ebfm khuy\u1ebft cao v\u00ec h\u1ecd v\u1eabn \u0111ang h\u1ecdc c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m doanh nghi\u1ec7p to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n, t\u00f4i KH\u00d4NG ngh\u0129 Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111i r\u1ea5t xa b\u1edfi v\u00ec “c\u00e1ch ngh\u0129” c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u1ec1 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ea5p hay sao ch\u00e9p s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u1ee7a ai \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 b\u00e1n ch\u00fang v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 r\u1ebb h\u01a1n. N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n nh\u00ecn v\u00e0o m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 m\u00e0 h\u1ecd x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng, ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng r\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f2n ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m r\u1ebb nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed3 ch\u01a1i, qu\u1ea7n \u00e1o, gi\u1ea7y d\u00e9p nh\u01b0ng v\u1edbi ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 n\u00e0o ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c.”<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

—-English version—-<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

IT market today and tommorrow<\/p>\n

It seems that after few years of slowing down, the technology industry is beginning to enjoy better time again as businesses and governments around the world begin spending on information technology (IT). According to a report by Forrester Research, the IT industry will \u201cexplode\u201d bigger than before as more companies are considering IT as strategic factor to keep them competitive in the global market. The research firm predicts that global IT spending will increase about 9 percent to more than $1.6 trillion in 2010 and more in the next five years.<\/p>\n

Andrew Bartels, Forrester Research vice president declared: \u201cThe technology downturn is unofficially over, everything is ready for a more tech spending and hiring. The US, the technology market will be much stronger than any other market with technology spending growing more than twice the rate of gross domestic product.\u201d The data indicated that in the past six months of 2010, global purchases of computer equipment has increased by 10%, communications equipment has increased by 8%, software spending has increased about 11% and IT outsourcing services already reached 8% higher than last year.<\/p>\n

The U.S technology market is not the only place that grow but European market is also forecasted to have the strongest growing in many years where technology purchases will rise by 12%. The research also predicts that technology market in Canada will grow by 10%, in Asia Pacific by 8%, and Latin America by 7%. With the exception of\u00a0 Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, almost every country will enjoy significant growth with their technology markets. Forrester Research predicts that hiring in the technology will increase by the end of the year and continue in the next several years with wages also increase at least by 6% each year as there is still a shortage of skilled workers in every country.<\/p>\n

Throughout the economic downturn, most companies had to layoffs many workers but the technology industry remained stable with minimum layoffs. In the next several year, the prospects is bright for Web developers because more companies are relying on their websites to sell products and services. Many governments are also increasingly depend on their websites to provide services to their citizens so people with web development experiences would have no problem finding jobs. According to Forrester, demand for Web developers remains very strong throughout the world but this field also has become more specialized as more tools and technologies are available. The most sought after jobs are network security specialist, network architect, and software project manager. Forrester research found that more than 30% of company surveyed plan to hire more Web developers this year and as a measure of the strong demand, most Web developers said they received raises between 6% to 12% last year.<\/p>\n

The IT growth also fuels the outsourcing industry in India. According to the new study of National Association of Software and Service Companies (NASSCOM), the IT outsourcing will create 30 million additional jobs (10 million directly and 20 million indirectly) by 2020. In the past ten years, the IT outsourcing industry has directly employed about 3 million software people and indirectly created additional 18 million jobs. NASSCOM predicts that IT outsourcing and engineering development earning will achieve about $1.4 trillion by 2020. However, the study also warned that industry revenue growth that has increased 40 percent over the last ten years may slowdown due to the shortage of qualified skilled workers. Currently, Indian\u2019s IT industry is experiencing a critical shortage of skilled people which lead to an \u201cinternal war\u201d among companies for talents. About a third of the Indian software workers are changing jobs every years to get better salaries and positions. Company recruiters reported that they had to throw in \u201cadditional bonuses\u201d to lure talent to their companies. The most popular incentives were higher salaries of 10% or more or extra bonuses such as longer vacations, more oversea assignments, and sign-on bonus of cash.<\/p>\n

As the IT market continues to grow with high demand for workers, more countries are jumping in the market. China is considered a \u201ckey contender\u201d that could compete directly with India. China has better infrastructures, more government incentives, lower costs but the key weaknesses are lower quality products, poorly trained managers, lack of enforcement for intellectual property, and significant problem with software piracy. According to several studies, most western companies are reluctant to outsource to China for fear of Chinese companies copy their products and sell them at much cheaper prices. Ken Brown, a China business consultant explained: \u201cChina already did it with consumer products such as TV, Home appliances, stereo systems, computers, electronics gadgets etc by copy Japanese and S. Korean products. They are doing the same with motorcycles, cars, machineries etc., there is no reason they would stop at anything. Today you can buy many \u201cCounterfeit products\u201d made in China as they are exported them everywhere. I do NOT think China will be able to push India aside in IT market. Their education system has not catch up with the rest of the world, they are still focus on cramming and passing exams with no practical aspects. Their IT workers can only do limited works, such as programming and testing but have little concept of design or build larger systems. Most IT companies are not well managed, most products have high defects as they are still learning how to do business globally. Contradict to several predictions, I do NOT think China can go very far because of their \u201cmindsets\u201d of \u00a0build low quality product or copy somebody products and sell them at cheaper prices. If you look at everything that they build, the quality is very low, it may be acceptable for some cheap products such as toys, clothes, shoes but for software, it is unacceptable.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

D\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 sau v\u00e0i n\u0103m ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u0111ang b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eadn h\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1eddi gian t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i khi … <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2649","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-xu-huong-toan-cau"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2649","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2649"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2649\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2650,"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2649\/revisions\/2650"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2649"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2649"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2649"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}