{"id":1827,"date":"2013-07-03T20:50:50","date_gmt":"2013-07-03T13:50:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/science-technology.vn\/?p=1827"},"modified":"2013-07-03T20:50:50","modified_gmt":"2013-07-03T13:50:50","slug":"tuong-lai-cua-may-tinh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/science-technology.vn\/?p=1827","title":{"rendered":"T\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a m\u00e1y t\u00ednh"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ng\u00e0y nay \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i di \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u00e1y t\u00ednh, thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i video, m\u00e1y \u1ea3nh, m\u00e1y nghe nh\u1ea1c MP3, radio v\u00e0 t\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n, t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 \u1edf trong m\u1ed9t thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb. Trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai g\u1ea7n, \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd ch\u1ea1y trong tr\u00ecnh duy\u1ec7t nh\u01b0ng m\u00e3 v\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u01b0u gi\u1eef ‘trong m\u00e2y’ c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ti \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i. Khi b\u1ea1n t\u00ecm Internet, th\u00f4ng tin n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u01b0u gi\u1eef tr\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n nh\u01b0ng nhi\u1ec1u th\u00f4ng tin s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u01b0u gi\u1eef trong m\u00e2y. B\u1ea1n kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd ph\u1ea3i lo l\u1eafng v\u1ec1 b\u1ed9 nh\u1edb hay l\u01b0u gi\u1eef th\u00eam n\u1eefa. B\u1ea1n kh\u00f4ng bao gi\u1edd ph\u1ea3i lo v\u1ec1 c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m n\u1eefa v\u00ec n\u00f3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng ho\u00e1 b\u1edfi c\u00f4ng ti \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n. V\u1ec1 c\u0103n b\u1ea3n \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd thay th\u1ebf cho laptop hay PC c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n v\u00ec v\u00e0i n\u0103m n\u1eefa k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb gi\u1edd, s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 PC hay laptop. Nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e0m PC v\u00e0 Laptop \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n v\u00e0o kinh doanh \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ng\u00e0y nay th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng cho \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng di \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111ang b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5. \u0110\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3u thay \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1edbn n\u00e0y, ch\u00fang ta ph\u1ea3i nh\u00ecn v\u00e0o d\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p: Gi\u1eefa nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1940 t\u1edbi 1970, th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9 1 tri\u1ec7u m\u00e1y t\u00ednh l\u1edbn. Gi\u1eefa nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1970 t\u1edbi 1980 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 qu\u00e3ng 10 tri\u1ec7u m\u00e1y t\u00ednh mini. Gi\u1eefa nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1980 t\u1edbi 2010 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 100 tri\u1ec7u PC v\u00e0 Laptop. Ng\u00e0y nay th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 1 t\u1ec9 \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i di \u0111\u1ed9ng. C\u00f3 m\u1ed9t \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00e0 trong 5 n\u0103m t\u1edbi, \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh s\u1ebd thay th\u1ebf cho \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i di \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1t t\u1edbi 2 t\u1ec9 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb. Ng\u00e0y nay, th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 x\u1ea5p x\u1ec9 10 tri\u1ec7u c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m nh\u01b0ng theo kh\u1ea3o c\u1ee9u n\u00e0y, nhu c\u1ea7u l\u00e0 qu\u00e3ng 25 tri\u1ec7u c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n ng\u00e0y nay v\u00e0 50 tri\u1ec7u c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n trong 5 n\u0103m n\u1eefa. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 l\u00ed do t\u1ea1i sao c\u00f3 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m ng\u00e0y nay v\u00e0 c\u00f2n nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai. Ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m l\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 m\u00e0 y\u00eau c\u1ea7u tri th\u1ee9c \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o chuy\u00ean s\u00e2u. N\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f4ng nh\u01b0 c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n th\u1ee7 c\u00f4ng. Ngay c\u1ea3 v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m m\u1ee9c v\u00e0o ngh\u1ec1 c\u1ee7a l\u1eadp tr\u00ecnh v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m th\u1eed c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1ea5t 1 t\u1edbi 2 n\u0103m \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o. Ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00e1c vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m y\u00eau c\u1ea7u \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 4 n\u0103m \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o \u1edf \u0111\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e0y nay gi\u1ea3i th\u00f4ng b\u0103ng r\u1ed9ng cho internet \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean kh\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u. B\u1ed9 nh\u1edb v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 b\u1ed9 nh\u1edb \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m cho t\u00ednh to\u00e1n m\u00e2y th\u00e0nh ch\u1ecdn l\u1ef1a t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n cho c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ti. C\u00f3 ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ec3 chuy\u1ec3n sang t\u00ednh to\u00e1n m\u00e2y thay v\u00ec c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u00f4ng tin ri\u00eang trong n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9. T\u1ea1i sao mua m\u00e1y t\u00ednh, m\u00e1y ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5, v\u00e0 thu\u00ea c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n CNTT \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00ed ch\u00fang? T\u1ea1i sao mua gi\u1ea5y ph\u00e9p h\u1ec7 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh, gi\u1ea5y ph\u00e9p \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng, tr\u1ea3 ph\u00ed b\u1ea3o h\u00e0nh m\u1ecdi n\u0103m? T\u1ea1i sao lo l\u1eafng v\u1ec1 c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt an ninh, virus, hacker v\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 an ninh khi b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 c\u00f4ng ti kh\u00e1c cung c\u1ea5p cho nh\u1eefng d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 n\u00e0y v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c “tr\u1ea3 ti\u1ec1n theo s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng” b\u1eb1ng t\u00ednh to\u00e1n m\u00e2y? Ng\u00e0y nay b\u1ea5t k\u00ec c\u00f4ng ti n\u00e0o c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 “thu\u00ea” d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n m\u00e2y t\u1eeb IBM, Microsoft, HP, Google, v\u00e0 Amazon. C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ti l\u1edbn n\u00e0y c\u00f3 tri th\u1ee9c chuy\u00ean gia v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 kinh nghi\u1ec7m \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho b\u1ea5t k\u00ec nhu c\u1ea7u n\u00e0o m\u00e0 b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 chi ph\u00ed th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

V\u1edbi m\u00e1y t\u00ednh l\u1edbn, IBM l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ti chi ph\u1ed1i b\u1edfi v\u00ec n\u00f3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng. V\u1edbi m\u00e1y t\u00ednh c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n, Microsoft l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ti chi ph\u1ed1i v\u00ec n\u00f3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t h\u1ec7 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh. V\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh, tr\u00ecnh duy\u1ec7t \u0111ang tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n h\u1ec7 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh. V\u1edbi HTML 5, nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c h\u1ec7 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a tr\u00ecnh duy\u1ec7t v\u00e0 Google c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng ti chi ph\u1ed1i ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u00e2y. C\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p m\u00e1y t\u00ednh c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra h\u00e0ng ngh\u00ecn c\u00f4ng ti ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m. C\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh c\u00f3 l\u1ebd s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra h\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u c\u00f4ng ti ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m hay h\u01a1n. \u0110\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng ti ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m cho m\u00e1y t\u00ednh c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n, b\u1ea1n c\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t tri\u1ec7u \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0 thu\u00ea h\u00e0ng tr\u0103m c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng ti ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m cho \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh, b\u1ea1n ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n v\u00e0i ngh\u00ecn \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0 thu\u00ea 2 t\u1edbi 5 c\u00f4ng nh\u00e2n ph\u1ea7n m\u1ec1m \u0111\u1ec3 vi\u1ebft \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng di \u0111\u1ed9ng. Ng\u00e0y nay, c\u00f3 tr\u00ean ngh\u00ecn c\u00f4ng ti app di \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng ti n\u1eefa \u0111ang t\u1edbi. Chi ph\u00ed kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ea5p h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111i v\u00e0o kinh doanh n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e0y nay, Android c\u1ee7a Google v\u00e0 iOS c\u1ee7a Apple \u0111ang c\u1ea1nh tranh trong kinh doanh di \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y. Trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ti \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t kinh doanh di \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng n\u00e0o s\u1ebd s\u1eb5n c\u00f3, v\u00e0 ch\u00fang c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 bao nhi\u00eau. V\u1edbi Apple v\u00e0Google, ch\u00ednh ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n App \u0111\u1eb7t ra \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho m\u1ecdi ki\u1ec3u \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd thay \u0111\u1ed5i nhi\u1ec1u v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t khi n\u00f3 thay th\u1ebf PC v\u00e0 laptop. V\u00ec b\u0103ng r\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi gi\u1ea3i th\u00f4ng cao l\u00e0 s\u1eb5n c\u00f3, \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh s\u1ebd nhanh h\u01a1n, t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng di \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng t\u1ec9 \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng m\u1edbi v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00f9ng.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e0y nay, c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i video s\u1eb5n c\u00f3 cho \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i di \u0111\u1ed9ng. Trong v\u00f2ng v\u00e0i n\u0103m, b\u1edfi v\u00ec gi\u1ea3i th\u00f4ng m\u1edbi v\u00e0 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n m\u00e2y, nhi\u1ec1u tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i video s\u1ebd nhanh h\u01a1n v\u00e0 t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n. \u0110\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t khi \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh thay th\u1ebf PC v\u00e0 Laptops, m\u1ecdi tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i video s\u1eb5n c\u00f3 tr\u00ean PC s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chuy\u1ec3n sang \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh. Nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi s\u1ebd ch\u01a1i tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i video v\u1edbi nhau d\u00f9ng \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng ti tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i video h\u1ed9i t\u1ee5 v\u00e0o \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh s\u1ebd n\u1ed5i l\u00ean v\u1edbi s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m m\u1edbi, c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 m\u1edbi v\u00e0 kinh doanh m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

C\u00f3 quan ni\u1ec7m m\u1edbi r\u1eb1ng \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n c\u0169ng l\u00e0 v\u00ed ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n b\u1edfi v\u00ec n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n. B\u1ea1n kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n \u0111em theo ti\u1ec1n, b\u1ea1n kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n vi\u1ebft s\u00e9c, b\u1ea1n kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n th\u1ebb t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 ti\u1ec1n cho c\u00e1c th\u1ee9 b\u1ea1n mua. M\u1ecdi \u0111i\u1ec1u b\u1ea1n c\u1ea7n l\u00e0 d\u00f9ng \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ec3 g\u1eedi thanh to\u00e1n t\u1edbi t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n bu\u00f4n b\u00e1n v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c thanh to\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n. \u0110i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u00e2y. T\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n bu\u00f4n b\u00e1n c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n c\u0169ng trong m\u00e2y cho n\u00ean giao t\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra trong m\u1ed9t gi\u00e2y. Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng ho\u00e1 \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7. Theo m\u1ed9t kh\u1ea3o c\u1ee9u m\u1edbi, ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u201cv\u1eadt l\u00ed\u201d s\u1ebd bi\u1ebfn m\u1ea5t trong v\u00f2ng v\u00e0i n\u0103m n\u1eefa v\u00e0 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng “\u1ea3o” s\u1ebd n\u1ed5i l\u00ean. M\u1ecdi giao d\u1ecbch t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng ti\u1ec1n s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea7n t\u1edbi. Thanh to\u00e1n c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n, l\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n, giao t\u00e1c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n, mua s\u1eafm c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n, ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n, v\u00e0 m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 li\u00ean quan t\u1edbi t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n theo c\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed. S\u1ebd c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c n\u1eefa v\u00ec c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 th\u00f4ng tin l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9.<\/p>\n

B\u1ea1n h\u1ecfi v\u1ec1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a m\u00e1y t\u00ednh sao? C\u00e2u tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi l\u00e0 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n: \u201cN\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u1edf trong b\u00e0n tay b\u1ea1n \u2013 n\u00f3 l\u00e0 trong \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng minh c\u1ee7a b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 n\u1ed1i t\u1edbi t\u00ednh to\u00e1n m\u00e2y c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ti \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

—-English version—-<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

The future of computer<\/p>\n

Today your smart phone has become\u00a0 your computer, your video game device, your camera, your music listening MP3, your radio and of course your phone, all in one device. In the near future, your phone applications will run in the browser but their code and data will be stored \u201cin the cloud\u201d of the phone company. When you search the Internet, some information will be stored on your phone but many will be stored in the cloud. You never have to worry about memory or storage anymore. You never have to worry about software update either because it will be automated by your phone company. Basically your smart phone will replace your laptop or your PC because few years from now, there will not be PC or laptops. Many PC and Laptop makers are already moving into smart phone business.<\/p>\n

Today the market for mobile application is exploding. To understand this significant change, we must look at industry data: Between 1940 to 1970, the world had approximately 1 million mainframe computers. Between 1970 to 1980 the world had about 10 million mini-computers. Between 1980 to 2010 the world had 100 million PC and Laptops. Today the world already have 1 billion mobile phones. There is an estimate that in the next 5 years, smart phone will replaced mobile phone and reaching 2 billion units. Today, the world has approximately 10 million software workers but according to the study, the demand is about 25 million workers today and 50 million workers within the next 5 years. That is why there is a shortage of software workers today and more severe in the future. Software is an intellectual activities which requires special knowledge and intensive training. It cannot be mass-produced like labor workers. Even for the entry level jobs of programming and testing may takes 1 to 2 years of training. Most software development jobs requires at least 4 years of training in college.<\/p>\n

Today broadband bandwidth for the internet has increased significantly. Memory and storage technology has made Cloud Computing the better choice for companies. There is cost saving to move to cloud computing instead of having in-house information system. Why buy computers, servers, and hire IT workers to managing them? Why buy operating system licenses, application licenses, pay maintenance fees every year? Why worry about security updates, virus, hackers and security issues when you can have other companies to provide these services at a \u201cpay per usage\u201d with cloud computing? Today any company can \u201crent\u201d cloud computing services from IBM, Microsoft, HP, Google, and Amazon. These large companies have the expertise and experienced people to support whatever needs that you have at lower costs.<\/p>\n

With mainframe computer, IBM is the dominant company because it controls most applications. With personal computer, Microsoft is the dominant company because it controls the operating system. With smart phone, the browser is becoming more important than the operating System. With HTML 5, many operating system capabilities become part of the browser and Google may become the next dominant company. The Personal Computer industry have created thousands of software companies, The smart phone industry will probably create millions of software companies or more. To start a software company for personal computer, you need million dollars and hire hundreds of software workers. However, to start a software company for smart phone, you only need few thousand dollars and hire 2 to 5 software workers to write mobile applications. Today, there are over thousand mobile app companies and many more coming. The low startup cost attracts a lot of people to enter this business.<\/p>\n

Today, Google\u2019s Android and Apple IOS are competing in this mobile business. In the past the phone companies control the mobile business and decided which applications would be available, and how much they would cost. With Apple and Google, it is the App developers to set the terms and conditions for all types of applications. The market will change more with smart phone, especially when it replaces PC and laptops. As broadband with high bandwidth are available, smart phone will be faster, better and mobile applications market will exploded with billion of new applications and users.<\/p>\n

Today, there are a lots of video games available for mobile phones. Within few years, because of new bandwidth and cloud computing, many video games will be much faster and better. Especially when smart phone replace PC and Laptops, all video games available on PC will be converted to smart phone. Many people will play videogames with each other using their phones. More videogame companies focusing on smart phone will emerge with new products, new technology and new business.<\/p>\n

There is a new concept that your smart phone is also your wallet because it can be connected to your bank. You do not need to bring money, you do not need to write check, you do not need a credit card to pay for things that you buy. All you need is to use your phone to send a payment to an merchant account and payment is done. Your smart phone is connected to the cloud. Your merchant account is also in the cloud so transaction can happen in matter of second. Future banking will be fully automated. According to a new study, \u201cphysical\u201d banks will disappear within the next few years and \u201cvirtual\u201d banks will emerged. All future financial transactions will be done electronically and eventually money will not be needed. Your payment, your salary, your financial transaction, your purchase, your investment, your saving, and everything to do with finance and banking will be done electronically. There will be more changes in other areas too as information technology changes everything.<\/p>\n

You ask about the future of computer? The answer is simple: \u201cIt is in your hand \u2013 it is in your smart phone that connects to a phone company\u2019s cloud computing.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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